UK house prices to rise by 3% in 2024




Knight Frank has revised its UK house price forecasts as inflation is falling faster than expected, with the company now suggesting that house prices will rise by 3% in 2024.

This compares to a decline of 4% which was predicted in October.

Knight Frank also expects cumulative growth of 20.5% in the five years to 2028.

This is partially a result of stronger demand, as the number of mortgage approvals was 10% higher in November than the previous year and the firms expects a double-digit percentage increase in sales volumes this year compared to 2023.

The report forecasts slightly lower growth for the mainstream London market (+2%) this year as continued affordability constraints in the capital mean lower-value areas of the country are likely to outperform.

In the prime country house market, Knight Frank expects a narrower decline this year (-2%) as the market comes down from the highs of the pandemic in recent years.

It also forecasts that prime central London (PCL) and prime outer London (POL) will underperform the wider UK market this year.

Given that prices in PCL are still 17% lower than their last peak in mid-2015, it is believed that growth will kick in more fully from next year.

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